University of Sussex
Browse
The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains.pdf (872.09 kB)

The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains

Download (872.09 kB)
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-09, 23:31 authored by Robert Rowthorn, Selma WaltherSelma Walther
This paper explores the optimal treatment of an infectious disease in a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, where there are two strains of the disease and one strain is more infectious than the other. The strains are perfectly distinguishable, instantly diagnosed and equally costly in terms of social welfare. Treatment is equally costly and effective for both strains. Eradication is not possible, and there is no superinfection. In this model, we characterise two types of fixed points: coexistence equilibria, where both strains prevail, and boundary equilibria, where one strain is asymptotically eradicated and the other prevails at a positive level. We derive regimes of feasibility that determine which equilibria are feasible for which parameter combinations. Numerically, we show that optimal policy exhibits switch points over time, and that the paths to coexistence equilibria exhibit spirals, suggesting that coexistence equilibria are never the end points of optimal paths.

History

Publication status

  • Published

File Version

  • Published version

Journal

Journal of Mathematical Biology

ISSN

0303-6812

Publisher

Springer

Volume

74

Page range

1753-1791

Event location

Germany

Department affiliated with

  • Economics Publications

Full text available

  • Yes

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2021-04-08

First Open Access (FOA) Date

2021-04-08

First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date

2021-04-05

Usage metrics

    University of Sussex (Publications)

    Categories

    No categories selected

    Licence

    Exports

    RefWorks
    BibTeX
    Ref. manager
    Endnote
    DataCite
    NLM
    DC