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Knowing is half the battle: seasonal forecasts, adaptive cropping systems, and the mediating role of private markets in Zambia
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-09, 19:53 authored by Giuseppe Maggio, Nicholas SitkoThis paper examines how smallholders living in regions where a drought is forecasted adapt their farm practices in response to receiving seasonal forecast information. The article draws on a unique longitudinal dataset in Zambia, which collected information from farm households before and after a significant drought caused by the 2015/2016 El-Niño Southern Oscillation. It finds that farmers residing in areas forecasted to be drought-affected and receiving seasonal forecast information are significantly more likely to integrate drought tolerant crops into their cropping systems compared to similar households not receiving this information. Moreover, the probability that a farmer implements these adaptive farm management strategies in response to seasonal forecast information is found to increase substantially as the number of private grain buyers in the farmers’ village increases. This suggests that climate change adaptation and resilience strategies that integrate the generation and dissemination of weather information with agricultural market development can achieve greater impact on farmers’ adaptive responses than approaches that treat these activities in isolation.
History
Publication status
- Published
File Version
- Accepted version
Journal
Food PolicyISSN
0306-9192Publisher
ElsevierExternal DOI
Volume
89Article number
a101781Department affiliated with
- Geography Publications
Full text available
- Yes
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2019-12-09First Open Access (FOA) Date
2021-04-24First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date
2019-12-09Usage metrics
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