Resilience thresholds to temperature anomalies: a long-run test for rural Tanzania

d''Errico, Marco, Letta, Marco, Montalbano, Pierluigi and Pietrelli, Rebecca (2019) Resilience thresholds to temperature anomalies: a long-run test for rural Tanzania. Ecological Economics, 164. 1063652 1-14. ISSN 0921-8009

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The existence of thresholds constitutes an important frontier topic for resilience analysis and measurement. This paper contributes to the literature by identifying critical resilience thresholds below which rural Tanzanian
households are unable to absorb the negative effects of temperature anomalies on long-run growth. To make up
for the lack of long micro panels, we generate a synthetic panel covering the time span 2000–2013. We show that
25%–47% of households in our sample lie below the estimated thresholds. The evidence of resilience-driven
regime shifts and non-linear dynamics has important implications for adaptation to climate change in developing
countries and is of significant interest for policy interventions.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Resilience Thresholds, Food Security, Household Growth, Temperature Shocks, Climate Change
Schools and Departments: University of Sussex Business School > Economics
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic theory. Demography > HB0801 Consumption. Demand > HB0820 Household consumption. Consumer demand
Depositing User: Prof. Pierluigi Montalbano
Date Deposited: 11 Jul 2019 11:18
Last Modified: 12 Jul 2019 08:45

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