Temperature and decisions: evidence from 207,000 court cases

Heyes, Anthony and Saberian, Soodeh (2019) Temperature and decisions: evidence from 207,000 court cases. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 11 (2). pp. 238-65. ISSN 1945-7782

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We analyze the impact of outdoor temperature on high-stakes decisions (immigration adjudications) made by professional decision-makers (US immigration judges). In our preferred specification, which includes spatial, temporal and judge fixed effects, and controls for various potential confounders, a 10 °F degree increase in case-day temperature reduces decisions favorable to the applicant by 6.55%. This is despite judgements being made indoors, 'protected' by climate-control. Results are consistent with established links from temperature to mood and risk appetite and have important implications for evaluating the influence of climate on 'cognitive output'.

Item Type: Article
Schools and Departments: University of Sussex Business School > Economics
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Depositing User: Anthony Heyes
Date Deposited: 03 May 2018 10:34
Last Modified: 28 Jan 2021 17:19
URI: http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/75589

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