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Shutting down the thermohaline circulation

journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-09, 01:13 authored by David Anthoff, Francisco Estrada, Richard TolRichard Tol
Past climatic changes were caused by a slowdown of the thermohaline circulation. We use results from experiments with three climate models to show that the expected cooling due to a slowdown of the thermohaline circulation is less in magnitude than the expected warming due to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. The integrated assessment model FUND and a meta-analysis of climate impacts are used to evaluate the change in human welfare. We find modest but by and large positive effects on human welfare since a slowdown of the thermohaline circulation implies decelerated warming.

History

Publication status

  • Published

Journal

American Economic Review

ISSN

0002-8282

Publisher

American Economic Association

Issue

5

Volume

106

Page range

602-606

Department affiliated with

  • Economics Publications

Full text available

  • No

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2016-05-13

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