Pereira, Henrique M, Leadley, Paul W, Proença, Vânia, Alkemade, Rob, Scharlemann, Jörn P W, Fernandez-Manjarres, Juan F, Araujo, Miguel B, Balvanera, Patricia, Biggs, Reinette, Cheung, William W L, Chini, Louise, Cooper, H David, Gilman, Eric L, Guenette, Sylvie, Hurtt, George C, Huntington, Henry P, Mace, Georgina M, Oberdorff, Thierry, Revenga, Carmen, Rodrigues, Patrícia, Scholes, Robert J, Sumaila, Ussif Rashid and Walpole, Matt (2010) Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st Century. Science, 330 (6010). pp. 1496-1501. ISSN 0036-8075
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Abstract
Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyze global terrestrial, freshwater, and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinctions, changes in species abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projections to observations. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the 21st century. However, the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because there are major opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties in projections
Item Type: | Article |
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Schools and Departments: | School of Life Sciences > Evolution, Behaviour and Environment |
Subjects: | G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences > GE170 Environmental policy Q Science > QH Natural history > QH0301 Biology > QH0540 Ecology |
Depositing User: | Jorn Scharlemann |
Date Deposited: | 15 Nov 2012 08:28 |
Last Modified: | 02 Jul 2019 21:02 |
URI: | http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/42533 |
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