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Aviation and the environment in the context of the EU-US Open Skies agreement

journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-08, 11:06 authored by Karen Mayor, Richard TolRichard Tol
We examine the impacts of the EU-US Open Skies agreement on the environment on emissions from the aviation sector. We use the Hamburg Tourism Model of domestic and international tourist numbers and flows, to estimate these impacts. The Open Aviation Area will result in increased competition between carriers and falls in the cost of transatlantic flights. This will not only have implications for the size and structure of the industry but also for climate policy. The paper assesses what effects the expected increases in passenger numbers will have on CO2 emissions and tests whether this increase in travel will result in a corresponding rise in emissions. Simulations show that passenger numbers arriving from the US to the EU will increase by between 1% and 14% depending on the magnitude of the price reductions because of substitution between destinations, the percentage increase in global emissions is much smaller (max. 1%) than the increase in cross-Atlantic traffic.

History

Publication status

  • Published

Journal

Journal of Air Transport Management

ISSN

0969-6997

Publisher

Elsevier

Issue

2

Volume

15

Page range

90-95

Department affiliated with

  • Economics Publications

Full text available

  • No

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2012-04-23

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    University of Sussex (Publications)

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