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Failed technology futures: Pitfalls and lessons from a historical survey

journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-08, 09:38 authored by Frank W Geels, Wim A Smit
Images of the future, with hindsight, turn out to be either right or wrong. In this article, past images of the impact of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on traffic and transportation are investigated. Informed by the field of technology studies, seven key features are formulated that point at pitfalls and neglected aspects in many future expectations on technological developments and their societal impact. It is also argued that the evolution from broad sweeping promises to more down-to-earth assessments is inherent in technological developments, because expectations and diffuse scenarios also play a performative role in technological developments.

History

Publication status

  • Published

Journal

Futures

ISSN

00163287

Publisher

Elsevier

Issue

9

Volume

32

Page range

867-885

Department affiliated with

  • SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit Publications

Full text available

  • No

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2012-02-06

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