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A fractional Hawkes process II: further characterization of the process

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posted on 2023-06-10, 06:17 authored by Cassien Habyarimana, Jane A Aduda, Enrico Scalas, Jing Chen, Alan G Hawkes, Federico Polito
We characterize a Hawkes point process with kernel proportional to the probability density function of Mittag-Leffler random variables. This kernel decays as a power law with exponent $\beta +1 \in (1,2]$. Several analytical results can be proved, in particular for the expected intensity of the point process and for the expected number of events of the counting process. These analytical results are used to validate algorithms that numerically invert the Laplace transform of the expected intensity as well as Monte Carlo simulations of the process. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations are used to derive the full distribution of the number of events. The algorithms used for this paper are available at {\tt https://github.com/habyarimanacassien/Fractional-Hawkes}.

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Publication status

  • Published

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  • Published version

Journal

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

ISSN

0378-4371

Publisher

Elsevier

Volume

615

Page range

1-11

Department affiliated with

  • Mathematics Publications

Full text available

  • Yes

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2023-02-21

First Open Access (FOA) Date

2023-02-23

First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date

2023-02-20

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