Mwangi_etal_C&D_2021.pdf (4.5 MB)
Mainstreaming forecast based action into national disaster risk management systems: experience from drought risk management in Kenya
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-10, 01:53 authored by Emmah Mwangi, Olivia TaylorOlivia Taylor, Martin ToddMartin Todd, Emma Visman, Dominic KnivetonDominic Kniveton, Mary Kilavi, William Ndegwa, George Otieno, Shamton Waruru, John Mwangi, Maurine Ambani, Halima Abdillahi, David MacLeod, Pedram RowhaniPedram Rowhani, Richard Graham, Andrew ColmanDrought and food security crises heighten risks to lives and livelihoods in East Africa. In recent years, a shift towards acting in advance of such events has gained momentum, notably among the humanitarian and development community. This shift is premised on tools that link climate forecasts with pre-agreed actions and funding, known as Forecast-based Action (FbA), or anticipatory action more widely. While FbA approaches have been developed by a number of humanitarian agencies, the key to scaling-up is mainstreaming these approaches into national risk management systems. This paper addresses this gap in the context of drought risk management in Kenya. We analyse Kenya's current drought management system to assess the potential usability of climate forecast information within the existing system, and outline steps towards improved usability of climate information. Further, we note the critical importance of enabling institutions and reliable financing to ensure that information can be consistently used to trigger early action. We discuss the implications of this for scaling-up FbA into national risk management systems.
Funding
Towards Forecast-based Preparedness Action (ForPAc): Probabilistic forecasts information for defensible preparedness decision-making and action; G2043; NERC-NATURAL ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH COUNCIL; NE/P000673/1
History
Publication status
- Published
File Version
- Published version
Journal
Climate and DevelopmentISSN
1756-5529Publisher
Taylor and FrancisExternal DOI
Page range
1-16Department affiliated with
- Geography Publications
Research groups affiliated with
- Sussex Sustainability Research Programme Publications
Full text available
- Yes
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2021-11-29First Open Access (FOA) Date
2021-11-29First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date
2021-11-27Usage metrics
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