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Dark costs, missing data: shedding some light on services trade

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journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-09, 12:58 authored by James E Anderson, Ingo BorchertIngo Borchert, Aaditya Mattoo, Yoto V Yotov
We develop a method to project missing sectoral services output and trade. For OECD countries, projected and observed output data match well. The basis is a structural gravity model to estimate barriers to services trade across sectors, countries and time. The model fits well and reveals key differences across service sectors. Border barriers fall over time but unevenly. Inferred border barriers are fitted to national geography, technology, income and endowments, and institutional determinants. The fitted model including fitted border barriers is used to project missing internal or bilateral trade flows, aggregating to projected output.

History

Publication status

  • Published

File Version

  • Accepted version

Journal

European Economic Review

ISSN

0014-2921

Publisher

Elsevier

Volume

105

Page range

193-214

Department affiliated with

  • Economics Publications

Full text available

  • Yes

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2018-04-20

First Open Access (FOA) Date

2020-04-21

First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date

2018-04-20

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