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Population and trends in the global mean temperature
The Fisher Ideal index, developed to measure price inflation, is applied to define a population-weighted temperature trend. This method has the advantages that the trend is representative for the population distribution throughout the sample but without conflating the trend in the population distribution and the trend in the temperature. I show that the trend in the global area-weighted average surface air temperature is different in key details from the population-weighted trend. I extend the index to include urbanization and the urban heat island effect. This substantially changes the trend again. I further extend the index to include international migration, but this has a minor impact on the trend.
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Publication status
- Published
File Version
- Published version
Journal
AtmósferaISSN
2395-8812Publisher
Universidad Nacional Autonoma de MexicoExternal DOI
Issue
2Volume
30Page range
121-135Department affiliated with
- Economics Publications
Full text available
- Yes
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2017-03-09First Open Access (FOA) Date
2017-06-21First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date
2017-06-21Usage metrics
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