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Climate change, the enhanced greenhouse effect and the influence of the sun: A statistical analysis
Changes in solar activity are regularly forwarded as an hypothesis to explain the observed global warming over the last century. The support of such claims is largely statistical, as knowledge of the physical relationships is limited. The statistical evidence is revisited. Changing solar activity is a statistically plausible hypothesis for the observed warming, if short-term natural variability is the only alternative explanation. Compared to the enhanced greenhouse effect, the solar hypothesis looses a substantial part of its plausibility. Reversely, the size and significance of the estimated impact of the enhanced greenhouse effect on the global mean temperature is hardly affected by solar activity.
History
Publication status
- Published
Journal
Theoretical and Applied ClimatologyISSN
0177-798XPublisher
Springer VerlagExternal DOI
Issue
1-2Volume
61Page range
1-7Department affiliated with
- Economics Publications
Full text available
- No
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2012-04-23Usage metrics
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