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The impact of climate change on tourism in Germany, the UK and Ireland: A simulation study
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-08, 11:07 authored by Jacqueline M Hamilton, Richard TolRichard TolWe downscale the results of a global tourism simulation model at a national resolution to a regional resolution. We use this to investigate the impact of climate change on the regions of Germany, Ireland and the UK. Because of climate change, tourists from all three countries would spend more holidays in the home country. In all three countries, climate change would first reduce the number of international arrivals-as Western European international tourist demand falls-but later increase numbers-as tourism demand from increasingly rich tropical countries grows. In Ireland and the UK, the regional pattern of demand shifts is similar to the international one: tourism shifts north. In Germany, the opposite pattern is observed as the continental interior warms faster than the coast: tourism shifts south.
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Publication status
- Published
Journal
Regional Environmental ChangeISSN
1436-3798Publisher
Springer VerlagExternal DOI
Issue
3Volume
7Page range
161-172Department affiliated with
- Economics Publications
Full text available
- No
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2012-04-17Usage metrics
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