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Landtagswahlen: Bundestestwahlen oder Regionalwahlen?

journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-08, 08:25 authored by Dan HoughDan Hough, Charlie Jeffery
Traditionally, the relationship between voting behaviour in federal elections and Land (regional) elections in Germany (as in most other countries) has been seen to possess a distinctly cyclical rhythm. According to this approach, the governing party at the federal level will poll particularly badly in Land elections at the middle of the federal legislative cycle. Using an analytical approach originally pioneered by the German political scientist Rainer Dinkel in 1977, we find strong evidence in Germany in support of this hypothesis for the period 1949-1990. However, the evidence becomes much less convincing for the period from 1990 onwards. These conclusions recieve further support when one uses the 'Index of Dissimilarity', an approach frequently invoked when analysing multi-level electoral dynamics in Canada. The territorial dimension of German politics has become significantly more important since German unification. Land election results are not as strongly linked to phenomena in the national electoral arenas and can, under certain conditions, be influenced by more local political events, personalities and processes.

History

Publication status

  • Published

Journal

Zeitschrift fur Parlamentsfragen

ISSN

0340-1758

Publisher

Springer Verlag

Issue

1

Volume

34

Page range

79-94

Pages

16.0

Department affiliated with

  • Politics Publications

Full text available

  • No

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2012-02-06

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