Landtagswahlen: Bundestestwahlen oder Regionalwahlen?

Hough, Dan and Jeffery, Charlie (2003) Landtagswahlen: Bundestestwahlen oder Regionalwahlen? Zeitschrift fur Parlamentsfragen, 34 (1). pp. 79-94. ISSN 0340-1758

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Abstract

Traditionally, the relationship between voting behaviour in federal elections and Land (regional) elections in Germany (as in most other countries) has been seen to possess a distinctly cyclical rhythm. According to this approach, the governing party at the federal level will poll particularly badly in Land elections at the middle of the federal legislative cycle. Using an analytical approach originally pioneered by the German political scientist Rainer Dinkel in 1977, we find strong evidence in Germany in support of this hypothesis for the period 1949-1990. However, the evidence becomes much less convincing for the period from 1990 onwards. These conclusions recieve further support when one uses the 'Index of Dissimilarity', an approach frequently invoked when analysing multi-level electoral dynamics in Canada. The territorial dimension of German politics has become significantly more important since German unification. Land election results are not as strongly linked to phenomena in the national electoral arenas and can, under certain conditions, be influenced by more local political events, personalities and processes.

Item Type: Article
Schools and Departments: School of Law, Politics and Sociology > Politics
Depositing User: Daniel Hough
Date Deposited: 06 Feb 2012 20:58
Last Modified: 24 Jun 2015 10:11
URI: http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/28969
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