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Non-linearity and expectations in niche-development trajectories: Ups and downs in Dutch biogas development

journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-07, 20:28 authored by Frank Geels, Rob Raven
Non-linearity and changes in the direction of technological trajectories, are related to changes in cognitive rules and expectations that guide technical search and development activities. To explain such changes, the article uses the literature on niche development, which highlights interactions between learning processes, network building and expectations. A long-term case study on Dutch biogas development illustrates how these interactions explain non-linearity, but the case study also shows the importance of external regime dynamics. It is concluded that non-linearity and changes in niche expectations are related to both internal learning processes and external developments.

History

Publication status

  • Published

Journal

Technology Analysis and Strategic Management

ISSN

09537325

Issue

3-4

Volume

18

Department affiliated with

  • SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit Publications

Full text available

  • No

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2012-02-06

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