Non-linearity and expectations in niche-development trajectories: Ups and downs in Dutch biogas development

Geels, Frank and Raven, Rob (2006) Non-linearity and expectations in niche-development trajectories: Ups and downs in Dutch biogas development. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 18 (3-4). ISSN 09537325

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Abstract

Non-linearity and changes in the direction of technological trajectories, are related to changes in cognitive rules and expectations that guide technical search and development activities. To explain such changes, the article uses the literature on niche development, which highlights interactions between learning processes, network building and expectations. A long-term case study on Dutch biogas development illustrates how these interactions explain non-linearity, but the case study also shows the importance of external regime dynamics. It is concluded that non-linearity and changes in niche expectations are related to both internal learning processes and external developments.

Item Type: Article
Schools and Departments: School of Business, Management and Economics > SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit
Depositing User: Frank Geels
Date Deposited: 06 Feb 2012 18:32
Last Modified: 30 Mar 2012 15:33
URI: http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/17051
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